On Leaving Money on the Table and the Endless IPO Window
Lately I’ve had several conversations with top notch executives, where they were looking to leave millions of dollars in vesting stock options or RSUs (millions) in favor of ‘starting again’ with unvested equity in post-traction start-ups (like at very high strike prices). Implicit in this is a sense of extremely low risk in joining something pre-IPO, and of leaving something doing quite well.
I’ve also observed a general VC lack of objections to any worries at all about IPO windows for SaaS companies. The thinking seems to be, so long as SaaS companies can hit $80-$100m in ARR (a huge accomplishment, granted) and still be growing, they can IPO no matter what the current state of the public markets. The relatively small-ish IPOs of Cornerstone OnDemand and Jive, and the general huge performance in the market of all SaaS players, seems to have bolstered this group-think.
The current venture SaaS valuations, which seem to be based on multiples of next year’s revenues, seem to neatly incorporate this “window never closes” thinking.
I’m not saying either is wrong. But leaving millions of vesting options on the table for a not dramatically different role in a mid-to-late stage start-up seems very 1998/99 to me. And not seeing any IPO windows at all is a new one to me.
Good times, forever. I’m down with The Endless Summer … even if the end of daylight savings time is just around the corner …